At work today I was clicking around Baseball Reference’s
website and I stumbled across an interesting section of the website that I have
never explored before. If you scroll to the bottom of a player’s profile page
you will see a section titled Hall Of
Fame Statistics, which is a bunch of sabermetrics designed to project if a
player is a Hall of Fame candidate.
Amongst the multiple equations there is one that is entitled
JAWS which stands for Jaffe WAR Scoresystem, the system was designed by sabermetrician Jay Jaffe as a means to
measure a player's Hall of Fame worthiness and easily compares the players. The
main components to the equation are a player’s WAR (wins above replacement) and
his 7-year peak WAR.
Not a whole lot of Twins are high up on any of the position
lists. Take Justin Morneau for example, he is currently ranked 105 on the list
for first basemen. This puts Morneau just six spots above Aubrey Huff, five
behind Mike Sweeney or 10 behind John Kruk. That’s pretty tough for a guy who won
an American League MVP award just a handful of years ago.
What really caught my eye was where hometown boy Joe Mauer
was ranked. Mauer, a 10-year MLB veteran, is currently ranked 14th all-time
amongst catchers. Mauer is in great company trailing seven current Hall of
Famers and already ahead of six other members of the Hall.
The catchers that Mauer is behind are the following from
first to 13th: Johnny Bench, Gary Carter, Ivan Rodriguez, Carlton Piazza, Mike
Piazza, Yogi Berra, Joe Torre, Bill Dickey, Mickey Cochrane, Ted Simmons, Gabby
Harnett, Thurman Munson and Gene Tenance.
All of those players are retired and have no chance of
moving up or down the list. The closet active player is the Detroit Tiger’s Victor
Martinez who is ranked 33rd. Granted, Joe Mauer could move himself down the list
since the JAWS system is based a lot on a player’s WAR, but we have no reason
to believe that Mauer will turn sour anytime soon.
The scary thing is that Mauer has a good amount of years left
in his major league career; at least the Twins hope so since he is signed thru
the 2018 season. It’s more than likely that Joe Mauer will move into the top 10
if not the top five before he hangs it up someday.
What really hit me is that while the Twins wallow in dismay
and are on pace for their third straight ninety-plus loss season, the Twins
have a catcher to that looks to be a Hall of Famer and when it’s all over there
shouldn’t be much question about it.
So while you are laughing at what the MLB All-Star game festivities
have become and pondering what really is Ron Gardenhire’s job status, just sit
back and remember that we are watching a future Hall of Famer every night
behind the plate… unless it’s a day game after a night game.
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